NATO’s three-day summit in Washington DC achieved the target for which it was designed, to create a public discussion board by which all 32 members of the Alliance may categorical their unanimous help for upcoming assaults on the Russian Federation. That was the actual function of the confab. The managers of the occasion, sought a dramatic show of unity to justify future hostilities with Moscow and to cut back the chance that anyone particular person can be held answerable for beginning World Warfare 3.
The summit was adopted by the discharge of a proper Declaration which strongly means that the choice to go warfare has already been made. As many individuals know, NATO has green-lighted a coverage that enables the firing of missiles at targets inside Russian territory. This coverage can even apply to the quite a few NATO F-16s that shall be deployed to Ukraine someday within the close to future. (F-16s can carry nuclear missiles) Regardless of overwhelming help for these insurance policies among the many members, we should not neglect that these are blatant acts of aggression which might be forbidden below worldwide legislation. No quantity of public relations hoopla can conceal the truth that NATO is on-track to commit the “supreme crime”.
It’s price noting, that NATO intends to take a extra energetic function within the conduct of the warfare. In accordance with Nationwide Safety Advisor Jake Sullivan, the Alliance plans to formally set up a NATO workplace inside Ukraine that shall be used to supervise navy operations. In brief, the managers of the battle now not have any curiosity in concealing their involvement. That is now a NATO operation. Right here’s an excerpt from an article on the World Socialist Internet Web site:
This NATO workplace will accompany the creation of a NATO command to supervise the warfare in Ukraine, transitioning the supply of weapons and logistical oversight from an advert hoc group led by america to the NATO alliance itself.Sullivan’s remarks outlined the primary agenda objects of the three-day summit in Washington, which is predicted to sign a significant escalation of the battle with Russia in Ukraine and plans to considerably enhance NATO’s capabilities to battle a full-scale warfare all through Europe….
He mentioned the summit can even announce “a brand new NATO navy command in Germany led by a three-star basic that can launch a coaching, equipping, and drive improvement program for Ukrainian troops….”
The creation of a NATO workplace in Kiev and the reorganization of weapons provision, coaching and navy logistics below a direct NATO command marks the tip of any pretense that the battle in Ukraine isn’t a warfare between NATO and Russia. It marks a harmful new part within the warfare, elevating the prospect of a significant escalation. Washington summit will announce plans to arrange NATO workplace inside Ukraine, WSWS
Add all of this to the truth that the Summit Declaration posits that Ukraine is now on an “irreversible” path to NATO membership, and it turns into clear that each effort is being made to impress Moscow.
Not surprisingly, Russia was totally demonized within the Declaration which follows the acquainted sample we’ve got seen with different enemies of Washington together with Saddam, Qaddafi and Assad. Right here’s a quick abstract of “evil” Russia instantly from the textual content:
Russia stays essentially the most vital and direct risk to Allies’ safety…Russia bears sole duty for its warfare of aggression in opposition to Ukraine, a blatant violation of worldwide legislation, together with the UN Constitution.
There might be no impunity for Russian forces’ and officers’ abuses and violations of human rights, warfare crimes, and different violations of worldwide legislation.
Russia is answerable for the deaths of 1000’s of civilians and has triggered intensive harm to civilian infrastructure.
We condemn within the strongest potential phrases Russia’s horrific assaults on the Ukrainian individuals, together with on hospitals, on 8 July…
We’re decided to constrain and contest Russia’s aggressive actions and to counter its capacity to conduct destabilizing actions in the direction of NATO and Allies… Washington Summit Declaration, NATO
Washington’s ferocious repudiation of Russia leaves little question as to the place all that is heading. It’s headed for warfare. The authors of this declaration had been reiterating the views of the billionaire elites who’re decided to roll-back Russia’s battlefield positive factors, topple the political leaders in Moscow, and splinter the nation into smaller, more-manageable statlets. Russia represents essentially the most formidable impediment to Washington’s general geopolitical technique of projecting energy into Asia, encircling China, and establishing itself because the preeminent energy on the planet’s most affluent area. These strategic targets are invariably omitted within the media’s protection, however they’re the underlying elements that form occasions. Right here’s Biden:
In Europe, Putin’s warfare of aggression in opposition to Ukraine continues. And Putin desires nothing lower than Ukraine’s complete subjugation; to finish Ukraine’s democracy; to destroy Ukraine’s tradition; and to wipe Ukraine off the map.And we all know Putin received’t cease at Ukraine. However make no mistake, Ukraine can and can cease Putin — (applause) — particularly with our full, collective help. They usually have our full help. “Ukraine can and can cease Putin.” The White Home
It’s all nonsense, nevertheless it helps to construct the case for warfare which is Biden’s apparent intention. (Right here’s John Mearsheimer’s response to Biden’s declare that Putin desires to beat Europe. You Tube; :30 second mark)
The reality is that the warfare was triggered by NATO enlargement, an inconvenient indisputable fact that NATO chairman Jens Stoltenberg has admitted on quite a few events. Some readers may also recall that—through the peace negotiations between Kiev and Moscow in April 2022—Russia’s main demand was that Ukraine reject NATO membership and declare everlasting neutrality. Zelensky agreed to these phrases which, in impact, show that Putin’s motion was linked to NATO enlargement. There’s just about no proof that Putin desires to beat Europe. None. Putin merely desires Ukraine to honor its treaty obligations concerning neutrality. Take a look at this excerpt by Ted Snider at Antiwar.com:
Ukraine.. promised to remain out of NATO. Its non-alignment was enshrined within the foundational paperwork of the impartial state of Ukraine.Article IX of the 1990 Declaration of State Sovereignty of Ukraine states that Ukraine “solemnly declares its intention of turning into a completely impartial state that doesn’t take part in navy blocs.” That promise was repeated in Ukraine’s 1996 Structure, which dedicated Ukraine to neutrality and prohibited it from becoming a member of any navy alliance. However in 2019, President Petro Poroshenko amended the Ukrainian Structure, committing Ukraine to the “strategic course” of NATO and EU membership.
Given NATO’s previous conduct, this was considered as a direct risk by Russia. When requested in 2023 if Russia nonetheless acknowledges the sovereignty of Ukraine, International Minister Sergei Lavrov answered, “We acknowledged the sovereignty of Ukraine again in 1991 on the idea of the Declaration of Independence, which Ukraine adopted when it withdrew from the Soviet Union… One of many details for [Russia] within the declaration was that Ukraine can be a non-bloc non-alliance nation; it could not be a part of any navy alliances… In that model, on these circumstances, we help Ukraine’s territorial integrity.” NATO’s seventy fifth Anniversary: The Damaged Guarantees That Led to Warfare, Antiwar.com
The difficulty, in fact, may have been resolved way back if Washington had acted in good religion, however Washington has not acted in good religion. In reality, Washington remains to be decided to inflict a “strategic defeat” on Russia so as to implement its “pivot to Asia” technique to make sure its future because the world’s solely unchallenged superpower. These targets can’t be achieved with out escalation, confrontation and a full-blown warfare. The NATO summit is merely a prelude to a broader and extra violent battle between the nuclear superpowers.
The query we should always being asking ourselves is whether or not NATO can truly win a warfare with Russia. Can it?
The reply is “No”, it can not.
Why?
Right here’s how navy analyst Will Schryver solutions that query:
I’ve performed my analysis — for years, relationship again lengthy earlier than 2022…. I repeatedly warned that it (Ukraine) was a warfare the US/NATO may by no means win….There’s a VAST distinction between the “on paper” power of NATO (together with the US) and their precise war-fighting functionality. The US couldn’t assemble, equip, discipline, and maintain even 250k fight effectives in jap Europe, and any try to take action would necessitate the evacuation of each main US base on the planet. The US/NATO not solely couldn’t win a warfare in opposition to Russia, however they’d be eviscerated within the try.Alerted by the US/NATO destruction of Yugoslavia, Iraq, and Libya, the Russians have spent the previous 25 years — and significantly the previous two years — engaged in an enormous and exceedingly spectacular navy construct up and modernization in preparation for an eventual warfare in opposition to the US/NATO. Up to now 2+ years, t hey have methodically destroyed Ukraine’s three successive proxy armies with one arm tied behind their again. Their drive era, fight coaching, and navy industrial manufacturing far exceed all the NATO bloc mixed. I respect the diploma to which navy analytical vacationers like your self have been totally propagandized by Hollywood fantasies and the western state-controlled media, however wars are usually not fought and received by imaginary narratives and flashy superheroes. They’re received by uncooked firepower — a metric by which the tripartite alliance of Russia, China, and Iran now possess supremacy over their hubris-drunken enemies within the quickly eroding American Empire. There is just one sane possibility at this level: relinquish empire and make peace with the resurgent civilizational powers of the earth. In any other case a lot of contemporary human civilization itself is vulnerable to being destroyed, and it’ll take centuries to recuperate. Ukraine Can’t Win, Will Schryver, Twitter
There’s additionally the niggling problem of “journal depth” which refers back to the stockpiles of weaponry and munitions required to outlast and finally defeat the enemy. Right here’s Schryver once more:
There isn’t any doubt Israel (similar to its nice benefactor, america) is, within the context of a “huge warfare”, able to executing a number of damaging strikes in opposition to a possible peer or near-peer adversary. However, all through the imperial area, there are deadly weaknesses that exist proper now, and which can’t be become strengths at any level within the near- or medium-term. The primary is what navy sorts name “journal depth”: munitions stockpiles adequate to offensively overwhelm, defensively defeat, and strategically outlast the enemy. Neither america, nor any of its largely impotent consumer nations, possess “journal depth” adequate to prosecute something greater than a comparatively temporary marketing campaign in opposition to their potential peer adversaries: Russia, China, Iran — and all or any of their lesser-power companions. Journal Depth, Will Schryver, Twitter
What Schryver is saying is as profound as it’s alarming. The US and NATO won’t prevail in a warfare with Russia as a result of they don’t have the commercial capability, the drive era, the fight coaching, the journal depth or the general firepower of Russia. By each metric, they’re the inferior combating drive. Moreover, Russia has already killed or captured a whole lot of 1000’s of the “the best-trained and best-equipped troopers within the Ukrainian military”. That military has already been successfully annihilated. The troops within the trenches right this moment are poorly skilled, unskilled, low-morale rookies who’re being slaughtered by the 1000’s. Does anybody significantly imagine that NATO involvement can flip this practice round and safe a victory? Right here’s extra from Schryver:
The Russians have demonstrated that they’ll routinely shoot down ANY species of strike missile the US/NATO can discipline in opposition to them — not all of them the entire time, however most of them more often than not. They usually get higher and higher at it as time goes on.Certainly, over the previous few months it’s more and more turning into “all of them more often than not”…. As Russian Protection Minister Sergei Shoigu reported earlier this week:
“We’re utilizing air defence techniques in a complete method through the particular navy operation. This considerably improved their responsiveness and strike vary. Over the past six months, we’ve got shot down 1,062 of NATO’s HIMARS rockets, short-range and cruise missiles, and guided bombs.”
No different navy on the planet has beforehand attested this stage of functionality. The US doesn’t have it, and is at the very least a decade away from creating it….
The present front-line stock of US tactical ballistic missiles and sea- and air-launched cruise missiles would current no larger technical problem for Russian air defenses than what they’ve already seen and defeated within the Ukraine Warfare. The importance of this battlefield improvement defies exaggeration. It alters the war-fighting calculus that has been assumed for a lot of many years. Empty Quiver, Will Schryver, Twitter
Some readers could discover it arduous to imagine that NATO would rush right into a warfare with out totally researching its prospects for fulfillment. However that’s exactly what’s occurring right here. Blustery Uncle Sam foolishly believes that he’ll win as quickly as he “throws its hat within the ring. He can’t settle for that the scales are tipped in Russia’s favor and that his entry into the warfare shall be met with a thunderous response. However that’s the actuality he faces. Right here’s Schryver one final time:
NATO would face huge issues of coordination, doctrine and drive era, even when it may agree an goal. Its troops are usually not skilled for this sort of warfare and have by no means operated collectively…..(they) can be hard-pressed to discipline a drive extra highly effective than the reported 9 Brigades skilled and geared up by the West for the Nice Offensive of 2023, which simply bounced off the Russian forces with out reaching something of notice….
The US has no floor fight items in Europe remotely suited to high-intensity land warfare…. Given sufficient time, cash, political will and group, most issues are potential. However there isn’t any likelihood… of NATO assembling a drive which might represent something greater than a nuisance to the Russians, whereas placing many lives in peril…… NATO’s Phantom Armies, Will Schryver, Substack
I’m satisfied that there’s a delusional factor inside the overseas coverage institution which have satisfied themselves that NATO will defeat Russia in the event that they face one another on a battlefield in Ukraine. Schryver’s evaluation helps to indicate why that’s not going to occur.
