Iranian media simply began rebroadcasting the anthem of the Iran-Iraq Conflict because of the state of alert imposed in Iran pic.twitter.com/9r5OO9CjzV
— Lord Bebo (@MyLordBebo) August 2, 2024
This appears good.
The U.S. army will deploy extra fighter jets and Navy warships to the Center East, the Pentagon mentioned on Friday, as Washington seeks to bolster defenses following threats from Iran and its allies Hamas and Hezbollah.The U.S. is bracing for Iran to make good on its vow to reply to the killing of Hamas chief Ismail Haniyeh two days in the past in Tehran – one in a sequence of killings of senior figures within the Palestinian militant group because the battle between Israel and Hamas in Gaza rages.
U.S. Protection Secretary Lloyd Austin had authorised sending extra Navy cruisers and destroyers– which might shoot down ballistic missiles– to the Center East and Europe.
Additionally it is sending an extra squadron of fighter jets to the Center East.
Yeah, that is getting… we’re moving into escalation mode right here, huh?
LIVE: @DepPentPressSec Sabrina Singh holds a information briefing on the Pentagon. https://t.co/CtZbYi80xo
— Division of Protection 🇺🇸 (@DeptofDefense) August 2, 2024
I do know that everybody retains saying “nothing ever occurs,” however the occasions because the debate appear to convey that assertion into query.
The Israeli battle with Lebanon is certainly taking place, and Iran is certainly going to be concerned in that battle, and Israel is certainly going to be straight bombing Iran extra.
The essential query is: can the US handle a battle in opposition to your entire Center East?
We all know they will bomb Iran, and destroy their cities, which is the response you get once you ask a few battle with Iran: “We’ll simply carpet bomb them and ship them again 100 years.”
The problem that I’ve taken with that assertion is… Iran has been conscious since not less than the invasion of Iraq that the US was planning to carpet bomb Tehran. And these individuals are not silly. So it appears to me that in the event that they know that’s the opening transfer of the US, they’ve in all probability set issues up to reply to that.
One must assume that they’ve numerous caves and tunnels with numerous drones. In addition they have the power t0 activate militias utilizing tunnels and drones all around the area. The US does probably not have a response to “individuals operating round in tunnels firing drones.” There simply isn’t actually a traditional army response to that, aside from sending in floor troops to chase down the individuals within the tunnels.
We’ve seen what a catastrophe the Israeli operation in Gaza has been for the IDF. The IDF is successfully and de facto a department of the US army, on condition that they’ve entry to the entire applied sciences and coaching, and additional, it’s apparent that US Particular Forces are energetic in Gaza. So, this complete “tunnels and low-cost rockets and drones” system is a approach to withstand the US army roughly indefinitely. Now, think about all of southern Lebanon being a Gaza, having Gazas all via Iran, plus after all the Gaza in Yemen, after which varied totally different Gazas in Iraq and Syria.
The purpose is: what Hamas is doing is working. Israel retains dropping troopers and there’s no actual proof they’re any nearer to “destroying” Hamas than they have been on day 1 of the invasion.
While you have a look at issues in these phrases, leveling Beirut and Tehran don’t actually imply very a lot, as a result of the Iron Dome doesn’t work, and these fighters can proceed to fireplace rockets and drones into Israel till you determine a option to get them out of the tunnels.
You are feeling me?
The frequent knowledge was “oh Israel can simply ‘take Gaza’” – ten months later, that hasn’t occurred. And Gaza needs to be simple, in comparison with South Lebanon, not to mention Iran.
The one apparent answer to the battle that the Jews and the People are planning, that I can see, is to deploy huge floor forces to really go into the tunnels. In any other case these teams is not going to be destroyed, and due to these technological developments in rocket and drone know-how, if they aren’t destroyed, they will simply maintain attacking.
A Hearth You Don’t Need to Begin
The opposite downside that I see right here for these individuals is that in case you assault Iran, and Iran responds by beginning fires all around the Center East via this militia community they’ve constructed, Sunnis are going to begin saying “nicely, we should always do one thing too” and begin overthrowing governments and so forth.
Individuals who plan these wars don’t actually know very a lot in regards to the structure of Arabs and Center Jap individuals typically. They don’t seem to be actually against battle, except they’re very wealthy (at which level they get comfortable). The US has prevented fixed wars by ensuring very wealthy individuals management the governments of the area. However the younger males are additionally more likely to danger their lives, and they’re fairly good at organizing into models that function in a cohesive approach with out top-down group.
If the entire area is ready on hearth, all bets are off. And I see no option to undergo with this deliberate battle with Iran with out setting the entire area on hearth. Then the US has this single purpose of defending the Jews, like some type of Tower Protection recreation… it simply all appears to be very poorly deliberate.
