On a latest overcast Saturday within the manicured yard of a constituent’s dwelling, Rep. Mike Levin (D-San Juan Capistrano) advised a number of dozen supporters about his efforts to carry extra sand to native seashores, cut back veteran homelessness and stop gun violence.
From the gang, Peggy Aveni whispered to her pal: “What about immigration?” When Levin started taking questions, she instantly raised her hand.
“I’m involved in regards to the immigration factor,” Aveni advised him. “I do know that the Republicans have tried to squash something from taking place. So, will something occur earlier than the election?”
With immigration on the forefront of the presidential election, the U.S.-Mexico border has change into an more and more important political problem in downballot races. In California, the place the San Diego area is now a high vacation spot for arriving migrants, a handful of aggressive Home races might assist decide management of Congress.
A handful of California Republicans seem susceptible within the November election, together with Reps. David Valadao of Hanford and Ken Calvert of Corona, and their defeat might assist Democrats reclaim the bulk within the Home of Representatives.
However there are additionally Democrats — together with Levin — who’re clinging to their seats.
“Proper now, the border is the No. 1 problem impacting this district,” mentioned Levin’s Republican opponent, retired businessman Matt Gunderson. “The San Diego County line has change into the epicenter of border crossings. Till we safe the border, all our different points, by way of public security and public well being and inflation, form of fall to the wayside.”
Levin, an environmental lawyer who has served the forty ninth District in Congress since 2019, represents most of northern coastal San Diego County and components of southern Orange County. His high priorities are combating local weather change, supporting veterans and defending democracy, although immigration has more and more crept up his record.
On the Encinitas marketing campaign occasion, he advised the gang that the asylum system is damaged. It has change into simpler for folks to pay hundreds to a cartel or get step-by-step directions on social media than to enter via a authorized pathway, he mentioned.
He reminded them that Republicans, heeding the calls for of former President Trump, killed a bipartisan border safety invoice after months of negotiations. Trump, the presumptive Republican presidential nominee, and conservative information retailers have used politically divisive problem of immigration as a cudgel to assault President Biden.
“We do have a real disaster,” Levin mentioned. “It’s not essentially what Fox Information makes it out to be. Nevertheless it’s unacceptable. It’s untenable.”
Aveni, 70, who’s an unbiased voter, mentioned she helps Levin however discovered his reply to her query evasive. She mentioned she helps authorized immigration.
“My buddies generally, even the extra liberal ones, perceive that this can be a large problem for Southern California,” she mentioned. “I need one thing completed, and it’s simply too dangerous that it took three years within the Biden administration to even get there.”
In an interview after the occasion, Levin mentioned that his grandparents on his mom’s facet immigrated from Mexico with their mother and father, who had work permits. He mentioned their expertise may not have been attainable immediately.
Levin mentioned he needs to increase authorized pathways to citizenship, notably for so-called Dreamers and others who’ve lived within the U.S. for many years.
The failed border safety deal marked the primary time most Democrats supported immigration laws that didn’t embody a legalization part. Nonetheless, he mentioned, it was a good-faith negotiation that included obligatory funding for extra border brokers, asylum officers and immigration judges.
“It’s true that it’s a political problem,” he mentioned, however “it’s genuinely a nationwide safety concern that needs to be handled as such. For me, that prioritizes the place it ranks on the continuum of all of the number of different issues that voters could care about.”
On the White Home three days after his meet-and-greet, Levin stood close to Biden, simply behind Homeland Safety Secretary Alejandro N. Mayorkas, because the president introduced his govt order limiting asylum on the border. The order raises the authorized normal for asylum claims and blocks entry for these crossing outdoors authorized factors of entry when their numbers common extra than 2,500 a day.
Requested how he felt about Biden leaning on the identical authorized provision that Trump used to ban folks from a number of Muslim-majority nations, Levin mentioned he hopes Biden is utilizing it “for a lot totally different functions.” The historic numbers of arrivals in the previous few years, he mentioned, present change is critical.
However Gunderson, Levin’s Republican challenger, mentioned the president’s order had come too late. The previous automotive dealership proprietor, who ran unsuccessfully for state Senate in 2022, has centered his marketing campaign largely on affordability for the center class.
The Biden administration dismantled Trump’s border insurance policies simply to “inch their manner again” because the election nears, Gunderson mentioned.
“No latest ‘come to Jesus’ perspective goes to alter what they’ve completed over the past three and a half years,” he mentioned.
Immigration is factoring into different California races, too. Within the forty fifth District, Republican Rep. Michelle Metal of Seal Seashore faces Democratic challenger Derek Tran, an Military veteran and Orange County enterprise proprietor whose mother and father had been Vietnamese political refugees.
Tran lately confronted warmth from Asian American group leaders for telling Punchbowl Information that Metal “tries to run on that she’s a refugee” although “she got here to this nation for financial achieve.” Her household fled communist North Korea for Seoul earlier than she later moved to the U.S. for school.
For her half, Metal has criticized Democrats for his or her dealing with of the U.S.-Mexico border, saying her constituents had arrived legally.
And within the forty first District, Calvert, the longest-serving Republican member of California’s congressional delegation, faces Democrat Will Rollins, a former federal prosecutor who helped prosecute Jan. 6 insurrectionists.
A redrawing of congressional maps divided the as soon as solidly GOP district in Riverside County. Although each candidates have advocated for securing the southern border, Rollins additionally helps a path to citizenship for sure immigrants and says these arriving on the border needs to be handled humanely.
Dave Wasserman, senior editor and elections analyst for the nonpartisan Prepare dinner Political Report, mentioned that whereas immigration has been certainly one of Biden’s weakest points in approval polls, “Democrats down poll have been considerably profitable in establishing independence from the White Home on this problem.”
The difficulty has change into a lightning rod in districts and states not simply alongside the border, but additionally throughout suburbs farther north because of the pressure that latest arrivals have positioned on municipal budgets, Wasserman mentioned. He pointed to Rep. Tom Suozzi (D-N.Y.), who jabbed on the administration as being sluggish to answer the problem, whereas additionally blasting Trump and Republicans for sabotaging the bipartisan compromise.
“Usually swing voters are supportive of tightening the border or going additional than Biden and Democrats have gone within the final three years,” Wasserman mentioned. “Whereas the main focus in 2016 was on Trump’s rhetoric on immigrants and immigration in a manner that polarized Hispanic voters in opposition to him, the main focus now has been on the humanitarian disaster stemming from document numbers of unlawful crossings.”