The abundance of Walgreens and CVS Well being shops makes them handy for every time Shriya Raghavan, a analysis affiliate based mostly in Philadelphia, wants to choose up requirements like gum, deodorant and cleaning soap.
However she stated she typically has to attend for workers to unlock cupboards or stand in prolonged traces to choose up prescriptions as pharmacists juggle duties.
These are simply a few of the methods Walgreens and CVS are falling out of favor with shoppers, in a development that has hit their earnings and inventory costs and compelled them to rethink their methods. They’re signs of deeper points plaguing retail pharmacy chains, which pivoted from years of retailer expansions to shuttering lots of of places throughout the U.S. to shore up earnings.
Shares of each CVS and Walgreens have tumbled within the final 10 years, however CVS has fared higher among the many two.
Among the many greatest issues for the chains, reimbursement charges for pharmaceuticals have fallen. Inflation, softer shopper spending, theft, and competitors from Amazon and grocery shops are additionally making it tough for drugstores to show a revenue on the entrance of the shop, the place they promote all the things from pantry staples to make-up and cleansing provides.
There’s additionally widespread burnout amongst pharmacy workers, lots of whom complain about understaffing and growing workloads.
A lot of these points aren’t new. Whereas CVS and Walgreens bought a short lived increase from Covid vaccinations and check gross sales through the peak of the pandemic, they now face a harsh actuality: the retail pharmacy mannequin could also be damaged.
“As issues have began to normalize, we’re reverting again to the challenges that the retail pharmacy trade had confronted even earlier than Covid,” Jefferies analyst Brian Tanquilut instructed CNBC. “I believe most of those pharmacies are realizing that essentially, their companies have probably not modified.”
The outside of a CVS pharmacy retailer is seen on August 07, 2024 in Austin, Texas.
Brandon Bell | Getty Photos
Falling retail pharmacy revenue margins solely add to the woes at each Walgreens and CVS.
Whereas Walgreens struggles with its push into major care, CVS’ backside line is getting battered by increased medical prices in its insurance coverage enterprise. CVS earlier this month slashed its full-year revenue outlook for the third consecutive quarter and introduced $2 billion in new price cuts over a number of years as these increased medical prices squeeze the insurance coverage trade.
It isn’t simply these two chains: Ceremony Support, as soon as a viable competitor, declared chapter final yr and is closing lots of of retailer places because it restructures.
Wall Avenue hasn’t been pleased. Shares of Walgreens are down almost 60% this yr and 80% during the last decade. CVS’ inventory is down virtually 30% each for this yr and the final 10 years. In the meantime, Ceremony Support’s widespread inventory was delisted from the New York Inventory Change in October.
Nonetheless, retail pharmacy chains stay an vital fixture of the U.S. health-care system that tens of thousands and thousands of People depend on. They might simply have to reinvent themselves.
“The retail pharmacy trade goes by a interval of soul-searching, attempting to know the very best mannequin to achieve the patron,” stated GlobalData retail managing director Neil Saunders. “Client habits have modified, a few of the economics of working drugstores and pharmacies have modified and the retailers within the sector are actually having to reappraise how they do enterprise to take care of profitability and keep a viable enterprise mannequin.”
Listed below are the primary components difficult the pharmacy enterprise, and what CVS and Walgreens are doing to adapt.
Falling pharmacy reimbursement charges
A lot of the ache for retail pharmacies comes from decrease prescription drug reimbursement charges.
Pharmacies sometimes purchase their medicines from a distributor after which get reimbursed by pharmacy profit managers, or PBMs. The highly effective drug provide middlemen additionally negotiate reductions with producers on behalf of insurers and create lists of medicines coated by well being plans.
The three largest PBMs – CVS Well being’s Caremark, UnitedHealth Group‘s Optum Rx and Cigna‘s Categorical Scripts – deal with virtually 80% of all prescriptions within the U.S.
Pharmacies have accused PBMs of setting decrease reimbursement charges, which, in some circumstances, can imply pharmacies receives a commission lower than the price of shopping for and shelling out a prescription. These middlemen are additionally accused of providing “take it or depart it” contracts when negotiating reimbursements with pharmacies, successfully forcing them to simply accept decrease charges to allow them to keep entry to sufferers coated by PBMs.
“There isn’t any leverage. There isn’t any negotiating energy on the facet of the retail pharmacies,” Tanquilut instructed CNBC. “So we have seen a constant strain on margins on the pharmacy facet during the last a number of years to the purpose the place that is an enormous problem.”
The working margin for Walgreens’ U.S. retail pharmacy unit was -5% final yr, down from 3.9% in 2019 and 4.4% in 2015. In the meantime, CVS’ working margin for its pharmacy and shopper wellness enterprise was 4.6% final yr, up from 3.3% in 2022 however down from 8.5% in 2019 and 9.9% in 2015.
CVS has a slight aggressive benefit over Walgreens because it has its personal PBM, and the margin strain from Caremark is probably going “not as extreme” as it’s for different PBMs, Tanquilut stated.
CVS in December additionally launched a brand new pharmacy reimbursement mannequin referred to as CostVantage, which is able to launch initially of subsequent yr and use what the corporate calls a “clear” formulation to find out a medicine’s value. A CVS spokesperson stated it’ll present extra readability and predictability for shoppers.
However some analysts instructed CNBC that it is nonetheless unclear how efficient that new mannequin will probably be.
In the meantime, Saunders stated extra shoppers are utilizing on-line pharmacy providers corresponding to PillPack, a subsidiary of Amazon Pharmacy, to get their prescription medicines. He famous that on-line pharmacy achievement stays “pretty small within the scheme of issues,” however stated it’s “positively rising and placing a bit little bit of strain on a few of the conventional pharmacy chains.”
Entrance-of-store woes
A Walgreens truck parks close to a CVS Pharmacy on March 10, 2023 in New York Metropolis.
Leonardo Munoz | Corbis Information | Getty Photos
E-commerce rivals, discounters and big-box retailers are a fair greater menace to the retail facet of Walgreens’ and CVS’ pharmacy companies.
As competitors mounts, the chains’ on-line retail presence has additionally lagged behind these of Amazon and different retailers like Walmart and Goal, in response to Leerink Companions analyst Michael Cherny.
“It wasn’t as doubtless that a person pre-Covid, and even the early days of Covid, would suppose in the beginning of going to CVS.com or Walgreens.com for procuring,” Cherny stated. “[CVS and Walgreens] had been behind on e-commerce.”
Inflation can be squeezing shoppers, who’ve turn into extra prudent with their purchases. A budget-conscious shopper is extra more likely to store at retailers together with Walmart, a greenback retailer or Costco, regardless of the comfort the retail pharmacies supply, Cherny famous.
Brittainy Lynn, a 38-year-old freelancer based mostly in Austin, Texas, stated it “looks as if costs are actually excessive” at Walgreens and CVS in contrast with different shops.
“It’s not my first alternative,” Lynn instructed CNBC. “Walmart or Goal is mostly the place I discover issues I want for the most cost effective value. I do frequent Greenback Tree as nicely, however probably not for necessities.”
Walgreens and CVS have blamed weaker retail gross sales partly on shoppers watching their spending.
Earlier this month, CVS stated same-store gross sales on the entrance of the shop had been down roughly 4% through the second quarter from the identical interval a yr in the past, which displays a “basic softening of shopper demand.”
Walgreens in June stated same-store retail gross sales decreased 2.3% through the fiscal third quarter in contrast with the year-earlier interval. The corporate stated its U.S. retail pharmacy enterprise confronted “important challenges” in a “worse-than-expected shopper surroundings.”
Walgreens and CVS have each elevated their give attention to their private-label merchandise to lure in buyers who’ve traded down from nationwide manufacturers to beat inflation.
In a press release, a Walgreens spokesperson stated the corporate is seeing “robust success amongst our personal model merchandise,” with model penetration “rising fairly properly.” They added that the corporate is increasing its number of merchandise, including 37 new gadgets alone within the second quarter. That “completely enhances shopper give attention to worth,” the spokesperson stated.
Walgreens extra uncovered to retail pharmacy strain
Whereas the key chains face most of the identical hurdles, Walgreens is probably going extra uncovered to the pressures on its retail pharmacy enterprise than CVS is, Evercore ISI analyst Elizabeth Anderson instructed CNBC.
CVS operates a PBM and the nation’s third-largest well being insurer, Aetna, which might assist offset points on the retail pharmacy facet.
Walgreens and VillageMD
Supply: Walgreens
CVS’ retail pharmacy unit was the second-biggest contributor to gross sales final yr, raking in $116.76 billion. The corporate’s well being providers phase, which operates Caremark and primary-care supplier Oak Avenue Well being, booked almost $187 billion in gross sales.
In the meantime, Walgreens will get the overwhelming majority of its income from its U.S. retail pharmacies. That enterprise unit took in greater than $109 billion final yr, dwarfing the $21.83 billion from its worldwide phase and almost $1.8 billion from its health-care unit.
Walgreens’ worldwide phase operates greater than 3,000 retail shops overseas, together with places of U.Ok.-based well being and wonder retailer Boots. The corporate’s health-care unit gives major care, pressing care and post-acute care providers, in addition to a specialty pharmacy, amongst different providers.
At the same time as Walgreens tries to diversify its enterprise, the corporate has been “enjoying catch-up” with CVS within the health-care area, in response to Jeffries’ Tanquilut.
Retail giants and pharmacies have been pushing to ship medical care on to sufferers, which might assist them seize a bigger slice of the greater than $4 trillion U.S. health-care trade.
However a number of corporations, together with Amazon, Walmart, CVS and Walgreens, are feeling the ache from bets on major care. That is as a result of constructing clinics requires plenty of capital, and the places sometimes lose cash for a number of years earlier than turning into worthwhile, in response to Tanquilut.
In contrast to CVS, Walgreens might doubtlessly exit that market altogether. The corporate stated in a securities submitting final week it’s contemplating a sale of its primary-care supplier VillageMD.
Walgreens invested $1 billion in VillageMD in 2020, then one other $5.2 billion a yr later to turn into its majority proprietor. However Walgreens began closing clinic places final yr. In March, the corporate recorded a hefty almost $6 billion cost associated to the decline in worth of its funding in VillageMD.
What’s the way forward for the retail pharmacy?
Retail pharmacies doubtless will not disappear quickly, particularly because the American inhabitants ages and extra folks want to choose up prescriptions, Evercore’s Anderson stated.
However she stated they could not have to “exist of their present kind.” That would doubtlessly imply growing their on-line presence, not promoting sure merchandise like greeting playing cards and shrinking retailer footprints.
“I believe there will be some experimentation with fashions there. It is extra of a query of what the brand new retail pharmacy mannequin will seem like,” Anderson instructed CNBC.
Walgreens has opened roughly 100 smaller-format shops, which have fewer front-of-store gadgets and over-the-counter medicines and have the corporate’s branded merchandise, a spokesperson stated in a press release. Walgreens plans so as to add extra “mini drugstores” this yr.
Walgreens “mini-drugstores” being examined throughout the U.S.
Courtesy: Walgreens
The corporate can be piloting a Chicago retailer location that focuses on “comfort and pace by digital pickup, pharmacy and grab-and-go options,” Walgreens stated on its web site. Most prescription or retail orders will be positioned and crammed at a counter, which might deter theft.
One other location in Aubrey, Texas, strikes the pharmacy to the entrance of the shop in a departure from the standard mannequin.
The corporate’s web site stated it doesn’t plan to roll out further pilot shops till “learnings about what works and what does not are higher understood.”
In the meantime, a CVS spokesperson stated the corporate is “innovating to satisfy our prospects’ and sufferers’ various wants.” The spokesperson pointed to the corporate’s private-label manufacturers, assortment of nationwide manufacturers, and loyalty program that gives reductions and advantages for sufferers.
The corporate has additionally opened Oak Avenue Well being primary-care facilities facet by facet with CVS pharmacies in Texas and Illinois, with plans to introduce round two dozen extra by the tip of the yr.
Shuttering shops to shore up earnings
Within the meantime, CVS and Walgreens are slicing prices.
Walgreens in June introduced plans to shutter a “important” variety of its 8,600 U.S. shops. The corporate’s CEO, Tim Wentworth, stated solely 75% of the chain’s places had been worthwhile, and that a good portion of the opposite quarter might shutter by 2027.
In a press release, a Walgreens spokesperson stated, “Now we have not too long ago exhibited the power to, and can proceed to make tough selections that profit our enterprise, as we establish alternatives that unlock worth, validate present pathways and lead [Walgreens] right into a profitable future.”
In 2021, CVS introduced it was shuttering 900 shops, or almost 10% of its U.S. retail places, over a three-year interval. CVS executives earlier this month stated the corporate is on observe to satisfy that aim by the tip of the yr, with 851 shops closed thus far.
In a press release, a CVS spokesperson stated the shop closure selections are based mostly on inhabitants shifts, shopper spending patterns and a given group’s retailer density, amongst different components. Even after the closures, 85% of individuals within the U.S. will nonetheless stay inside 10 miles of a CVS pharmacy, the spokesperson famous.
Amar Singh, senior director at retail consulting firm Kantar Group, stated shuttering underperforming places might assist Walgreens and CVS right-size their enterprise and determine “the appropriate equation” for his or her shops that may win again buyers and shore up earnings.
However retailer closures might make it tougher for a lot of People to get prescriptions, as pharmacy deserts turn into extra widespread in underserved communities throughout the U.S.
Additionally they could do little to repair a few of the deeper points plaguing retail pharmacies, in response to Saunders. For instance, he stated addressing declining pharmacy reimbursement charges could require laws and lobbying, and “getting that performed is nearly attainable.”
“In some methods, closing shops is a response to the issue. It isn’t the answer to the issue,” Saunders stated. “However long run, if different issues do not change, they’re going to in all probability discover themselves in the identical place in 10 years time the place they’ve to shut extra shops.”